Foot Simu
Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal's chances of winning the Premier League 2026/27

Title chance
61%
Position
1st
24 pts · 9 games
Likely finish
1st–2nd

Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League table with 24 points from 9 games.

Arsenal win the title in 61% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–2nd (86% of seasons), averaging 82 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Arsenal1st · 24 pts61%
  2. 2Manchester City2nd · 21 pts20%
  3. 3Brighton & Hove Albion3rd · 19 pts17%
  4. 4Chelsea4th · 16 pts1%
  5. 5Liverpool5th · 15 pts<1%
  6. 6Brentford6th · 14 pts<1%
  7. 7Bournemouth8th · 12 pts<1%
  8. 8Aston Villa10th · 12 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Arsenal

Frequently asked questions

What are Arsenal's chances of winning the Premier League?

Arsenal win the title in 61% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League table with 24 points from 9 games.

Where will Arsenal finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–2nd (86% of seasons), averaging 82 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Premier League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.