Foot Simu
Ligue 1 2026/27

Toulouse's chances of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27

Title chance
<1%
Position
12th
10 pts · 9 games
Likely finish
8th–14th

Toulouse are 12th in the Ligue 1 table with 10 points from 9 games.

Toulouse win the title in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 8th–14th (77% of seasons), averaging 44 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain1st · 20 pts79%
  2. 2Lyon3rd · 17 pts5%
  3. 3Lille2nd · 18 pts5%
  4. 4Marseille6th · 15 pts3%
  5. 5Lens9th · 13 pts3%
  6. 6Paris FC4th · 17 pts2%
  7. 7Monaco7th · 15 pts2%
  8. 8Rennes5th · 16 pts1%
  9. 9Toulouse12th · 10 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Toulouse

Frequently asked questions

What are Toulouse's chances of winning the Ligue 1?

Toulouse win the title in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Toulouse are 12th in the Ligue 1 table with 10 points from 9 games.

Where will Toulouse finish?

Their likely finish is 8th–14th (77% of seasons), averaging 44 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Ligue 1 season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.