Foot Simu
Ligue 1 2026/27

Lyon's chances of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27

Title chance
5%
Position
3rd
17 pts · 9 games
Likely finish
2nd–7th

Lyon are 3rd in the Ligue 1 table with 17 points from 9 games.

Lyon win the title in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 2nd–7th (80% of seasons), averaging 59 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain1st · 20 pts79%
  2. 2Lyon3rd · 17 pts5%
  3. 3Lille2nd · 18 pts5%
  4. 4Marseille6th · 15 pts3%
  5. 5Lens9th · 13 pts3%
  6. 6Paris FC4th · 17 pts2%
  7. 7Monaco7th · 15 pts2%
  8. 8Rennes5th · 16 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Lyon

Frequently asked questions

What are Lyon's chances of winning the Ligue 1?

Lyon win the title in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Lyon are 3rd in the Ligue 1 table with 17 points from 9 games.

Where will Lyon finish?

Their likely finish is 2nd–7th (80% of seasons), averaging 59 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Ligue 1 season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.