Toluca's chances of winning the Liga MX Apertura 2026
- Chance of winning the Liga MX
- 15%
- Position
- 5th
- 24 pts · 15 games
- Likely finish
- 4th–7th
Toluca are 5th in the Liga MX table with 24 points from 15 games.
Toluca win the Liga MX in 15% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 4th–7th (76% of seasons), averaging 27 points.
Liga MX: the likeliest clubs
- 1
América1st · 29 pts24% - 2
Guadalajara2nd · 29 pts24% - 3
Cruz Azul3rd · 29 pts20% - 4Toluca5th · 24 pts15%
- 5
Tijuana6th · 22 pts5% - 6
Atlas4th · 27 pts4% - 7
Monterrey9th · 21 pts3% - 8
Santos8th · 22 pts1%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's Liga MX chancesMore on Toluca
Frequently asked questions
What are Toluca's chances of winning the Liga MX?
Toluca win the Liga MX in 15% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Toluca are 5th in the Liga MX table with 24 points from 15 games.
Where will Toluca finish?
Their likely finish is 4th–7th (76% of seasons), averaging 27 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Liga MX season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the Liga MX.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.