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Liga MX Apertura 2026

Guadalajara's chances of winning the Liga MX Apertura 2026

Chance of winning the Liga MX
24%
Position
2nd
29 pts · 15 games
Likely finish
1st–3rd

Guadalajara are 2nd in the Liga MX table with 29 points from 15 games.

Guadalajara win the Liga MX in 24% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (87% of seasons), averaging 32 points.

Liga MX: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1América1st · 29 pts24%
  2. 2Guadalajara2nd · 29 pts24%
  3. 3Cruz Azul3rd · 29 pts20%
  4. 4Toluca5th · 24 pts15%
  5. 5Tijuana6th · 22 pts5%
  6. 6Atlas4th · 27 pts4%
  7. 7Monterrey9th · 21 pts3%
  8. 8Santos8th · 22 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's Liga MX chances

More on Guadalajara

Frequently asked questions

What are Guadalajara's chances of winning the Liga MX?

Guadalajara win the Liga MX in 24% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Guadalajara are 2nd in the Liga MX table with 29 points from 15 games.

Where will Guadalajara finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–3rd (87% of seasons), averaging 32 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Liga MX season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the Liga MX.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.