Liga MX Apertura 2026 play-off odds
Guadalajara reach the play-offs in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Cruz Azul (100%) and Atlas (100%).
Every club's play-off chances
- 1
Guadalajara2nd · 29 pts100% - 2
Cruz Azul3rd · 29 pts100% - 3
Atlas4th · 27 pts100% - 4
América1st · 29 pts>99% - 5
Toluca5th · 24 pts93% - 6
Tijuana6th · 22 pts78% - 7
Monterrey9th · 21 pts56% - 8
Santos8th · 22 pts54% - 9
Querétaro11th · 20 pts43% - 10
León7th · 22 pts41% - 11
Pumas UNAM10th · 20 pts15% - 12
Pachuca12th · 19 pts13% - 13
Atlético de San Luis13th · 19 pts8%
5 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Liga MX chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will reach the Liga MX Apertura 2026 play-offs?
Guadalajara reach the play-offs in 100% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Cruz Azul (100%) and Atlas (100%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Liga MX season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it reaches the play-offs.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.