Foot Simu
League Two 2026/27

Rochdale's relegation chances: League Two 2026/27

Relegation chance
48%
Position
20th
15 pts · 14 games
Likely finish
20th–24th

Rochdale are 20th in the League Two table with 15 points from 14 games.

Rochdale go down in 48% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 20th–24th (79% of seasons), averaging 47 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Crawley Town24th · 9 pts67%
  2. 2Rochdale20th · 15 pts48%
  3. 3Shrewsbury Town15th · 18 pts17%
  4. 4Bristol Rovers17th · 16 pts14%
  5. 5Colchester United23rd · 12 pts13%
  6. 6Rotherham United22nd · 12 pts9%
  7. 7Newport County14th · 18 pts6%
  8. 8Tranmere Rovers11th · 19 pts5%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Rochdale

Frequently asked questions

Will Rochdale be relegated?

Rochdale go down in 48% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Rochdale are 20th in the League Two table with 15 points from 14 games.

Where will Rochdale finish?

Their likely finish is 20th–24th (79% of seasons), averaging 47 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the League Two season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.