League Two 2026/27 relegation odds
Crawley go down in 67% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Rochdale (48%) and Shrewsbury (17%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Crawley Town24th · 9 pts67% - 2
Rochdale20th · 15 pts48% - 3
Shrewsbury Town15th · 18 pts17% - 4
Bristol Rovers17th · 16 pts14% - 5
Colchester United23rd · 12 pts13% - 6
Rotherham United22nd · 12 pts9% - 7
Newport County14th · 18 pts6% - 8
Tranmere Rovers11th · 19 pts5% - 9
Oldham Athletic18th · 15 pts5% - 10
Cheltenham Town5th · 21 pts4% - 11
Gillingham8th · 20 pts3% - 12
Fleetwood Town16th · 17 pts3% - 13
Northampton Town21st · 14 pts2% - 14
York City7th · 20 pts1% - 15
Accrington Stanley9th · 19 pts1% - 16
Swindon Town13th · 19 pts1% - 17
Port Vale19th · 15 pts1% - 18
Chesterfield10th · 19 pts1% - 19
Crewe Alexandra4th · 22 pts1% - 20
Grimsby Town6th · 20 pts<1% - 21
Walsall3rd · 22 pts<1% - 22
Exeter City12th · 19 pts<1%
2 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More League Two chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the League Two 2026/27?
Crawley go down in 67% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Rochdale (48%) and Shrewsbury (17%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the League Two season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.