Real Madrid's chances of winning the La Liga 2026/27
- Title chance
- 17%
- Position
- 3rd
- 27 pts · 11 games
- Likely finish
- 2nd–3rd
Real Madrid are 3rd in the La Liga table with 27 points from 11 games.
Real Madrid win the title in 17% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 2nd–3rd (80% of seasons), averaging 85 points.
Title: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Barcelona1st · 30 pts79% - 2Real Madrid3rd · 27 pts17%
- 3
Atlético Madrid2nd · 28 pts4% - 4
Real Betis4th · 23 pts<1% - 5
Real Sociedad5th · 19 pts<1% - 6
Athletic Club7th · 15 pts<1% - 7
Sevilla6th · 17 pts0% - 8
Deportivo La Coruña8th · 14 pts0%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's title chancesMore on Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
What are Real Madrid's chances of winning the La Liga?
Real Madrid win the title in 17% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Real Madrid are 3rd in the La Liga table with 27 points from 11 games.
Where will Real Madrid finish?
Their likely finish is 2nd–3rd (80% of seasons), averaging 85 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the La Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.