Foot Simu
La Liga 2026/27

Barcelona's chances of winning the La Liga 2026/27

Title chance
79%
Position
1st
30 pts · 11 games
Likely finish
1st

Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga table with 30 points from 11 games.

Barcelona win the title in 79% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st (79% of seasons), averaging 93 points.

Title: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Barcelona1st · 30 pts79%
  2. 2Real Madrid3rd · 27 pts17%
  3. 3Atlético Madrid2nd · 28 pts4%
  4. 4Real Betis4th · 23 pts<1%
  5. 5Real Sociedad5th · 19 pts<1%
  6. 6Athletic Club7th · 15 pts<1%
  7. 7Sevilla6th · 17 pts0%
  8. 8Deportivo La Coruña8th · 14 pts0%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's title chances

More on Barcelona

Frequently asked questions

What are Barcelona's chances of winning the La Liga?

Barcelona win the title in 79% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga table with 30 points from 11 games.

Where will Barcelona finish?

Their likely finish is 1st (79% of seasons), averaging 93 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the La Liga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it wins the title.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.