Foot Simu
Eredivisie 2026/27

Ajax's relegation chances: Eredivisie 2026/27

Relegation chance
0%
Position
2nd
24 pts · 11 games
Likely finish
1st–4th

Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie table with 24 points from 11 games.

Ajax go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 1st–4th (86% of seasons), averaging 67 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Willem II18th · 2 pts98%
  2. 2ADO Den Haag17th · 6 pts46%
  3. 3PEC Zwolle14th · 11 pts18%
  4. 4Excelsior15th · 11 pts12%
  5. 5Sparta Rotterdam11th · 12 pts8%
  6. 6Telstar16th · 9 pts6%
  7. 7Cambuur9th · 15 pts5%
  8. 8FC Utrecht12th · 12 pts3%
  9. 9Ajax2nd · 24 pts0%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Ajax

Frequently asked questions

Will Ajax be relegated?

Ajax go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie table with 24 points from 11 games.

Where will Ajax finish?

Their likely finish is 1st–4th (86% of seasons), averaging 67 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Eredivisie season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.