Pro League title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 6 September 2026
Union SG lead the title race at 71%. KV Mechelen 0–4 Westerlo moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Club Brugge37%23%−14 pts
Sint-Truidense3%1%−2 pts
Royal Charleroi3%1%−2 pts
Union SG's title chances rose from 52% to 71%. Club Brugge won 1–0 at Lommel SK, and their title chances fell from 37% to 23%. Union SG lead the title race at 71%.
Champions League
Up
Union SG83%93%+10 pts
KAA Gent10%16%+6 pts
Zulte-Waregem4%6%+2 pts
Down
- Royal Charleroi13%5%−8 pts
- Sint-Truidense12%6%−6 pts
- Club Brugge73%72%−1 pt
Union SG's Champions League chances rose from 83% to 93%. Royal Charleroi lost 3–2 to Union SG at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 13% to 5%.
Relegation
Up
OH Leuven37%52%+15 pts
KV Mechelen9%19%+10 pts
KV Kortrijk55%64%+9 pts
Down
Waasland-Beveren37%12%−25 pts
Westerlo20%3%−17 pts
Lommel SK2%1%−1 pt
OH Leuven's relegation chances rose from 37% to 52%. Waasland-Beveren beat OH Leuven 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 37% to 12%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
KV Mechelen 0–4 Westerlo moved the odds the most. KV Mechelen lost 4–0 to Westerlo at home, and their relegation chances rose from 9% to 19%. Westerlo won 4–0 at KV Mechelen, and their relegation chances fell from 20% to 3%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Union SG
- Club Brugge
- KAA Gent
- Sint-Truidense
- Zulte-Waregem
Show as a table
| Round | Union SG | Club Brugge | KAA Gent | Sint-Truidense | Zulte-Waregem |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 39% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 | 36% | 59% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| 3 | 34% | 60% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 4 | 52% | 37% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| 5 | 71% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAA GentKAA Gent | 15 | 3%+1 pt | 16%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion St.-Gilloise | 13 | 71%+19 pts | 93%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Club BruggeClub Brugge | 12 | 23%−14 pts | 72%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Royal CharleroiRoyal Charleroi SC | 12 | 1%−2 pts | 5%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | Zulte-WaregemZulte-Waregem | 11 | 1%±0 | 6%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  Standard LiegeStandard Liege | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  GenkRacing Genk | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 | Sint-TruidenseSint-Truidense | 8 | 1%−2 pts | 6%−6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | Lommel SKLommel SK | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  AntwerpAntwerp | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  AnderlechtAnderlecht | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 12 | Waasland-BeverenWaasland-Beveren | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 12%−25 pts |
| 13 | WesterloKVC Westerlo | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−17 pts |
| 14 |  Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge KSV | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%+2 pts |
| 15 | KV MechelenKV Mechelen | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 19%+10 pts |
| 16 |  La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 40%+8 pts |
| 17 | OH LeuvenOH Leuven | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 52%+15 pts |
| 18 | KV KortrijkKV Kortrijk | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 64%+9 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.