Pro League title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 30 August 2026
Union SG lead the title race at 52%. KAA Gent 2–1 Club Brugge moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Union SG34%52%+18 pts
Sint-Truidense1%3%+2 pts
Royal Charleroi2%3%+1 pt
Down
Club Brugge60%37%−23 pts
Union SG beat Anderlecht 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 34% to 52%. Club Brugge lost 2–1 at KAA Gent, and their title chances fell from 60% to 37%. Union SG lead the title race at 52%.
Champions League
Up
- Sint-Truidense5%12%+7 pts
- Union SG78%83%+5 pts
- Royal Charleroi9%13%+4 pts
Down
- Club Brugge89%73%−16 pts
Zulte-Waregem7%4%−3 pts
Antwerp2%<1%−2 pts
Sint-Truidense won 4–1 at Antwerp, and their Champions League chances rose from 5% to 12%. Club Brugge lost 2–1 at KAA Gent, and their Champions League chances fell from 89% to 73%.
Relegation
Up
Waasland-Beveren25%37%+12 pts
KV Kortrijk48%55%+7 pts
OH Leuven33%37%+4 pts
Down
Westerlo29%20%−9 pts
La Louvière37%32%−5 pts
Lommel SK7%2%−5 pts
Waasland-Beveren lost 4–0 at Genk, and their relegation chances rose from 25% to 37%. Westerlo drew 2–2 with Zulte-Waregem at home, and their relegation chances fell from 29% to 20%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
KAA Gent 2–1 Club Brugge moved the odds the most. KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 6% to 10%. Club Brugge lost 2–1 at KAA Gent, and their title chances fell from 60% to 37%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Union SG
- Club Brugge
- Royal Charleroi
- Sint-Truidense
- KAA Gent
Show as a table
| Round | Union SG | Club Brugge | Royal Charleroi | Sint-Truidense | KAA Gent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 2 | 36% | 59% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 3 | 34% | 60% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 4 | 52% | 37% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal CharleroiRoyal Charleroi SC | 12 | 3%+1 pt | 13%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Club BruggeClub Brugge | 9 | 37%−23 pts | 73%−16 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  KAA GentKAA Gent | 9 | 2%+1 pt | 10%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Zulte-WaregemZulte-Waregem | 8 | 1%±0 | 4%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  Standard LiegeStandard Liege | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 6 | Union SGUnion St.-Gilloise | 7 | 52%+18 pts | 83%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  GenkRacing Genk | 7 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 8 | Lommel SKLommel SK | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−5 pts |
| 9 | AntwerpAntwerp | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 10 | Sint-TruidenseSint-Truidense | 5 | 3%+2 pts | 12%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  AnderlechtAnderlecht | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
| 12 | Waasland-BeverenWaasland-Beveren | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%+12 pts |
| 13 |  Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge KSV | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts |
| 14 |  KV MechelenKV Mechelen | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 9%−4 pts |
| 15 | La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 32%−5 pts |
| 16 | WesterloKVC Westerlo | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%−9 pts |
| 17 | OH LeuvenOH Leuven | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%+4 pts |
| 18 | KV KortrijkKV Kortrijk | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%+7 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.