Modena vs Arezzo prediction: odds and simulated scores
Alberto Braglia
Prediction
Modena win
64%
Draw
23%
Arezzo win
13%
Expected goals
Modena2.03 – 0.83Arezzo
Most likely scores
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
Roll a likely score
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One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowModena win 2–0Draw 1–1Arezzo win 1–2
Modena: Promotion
49%54%+4 pts44%−6 pts39%−10 ptsModena: Title
12%14%+2 pts10%−2 pts8%−4 ptsArezzo: Relegation
54%57%+3 pts52%−2 pts41%−13 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.