Laziovs
Fiorentina
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Serie A · Matchday 38
Olimpico
Prediction
Lazio win
63%
Draw
20%
Fiorentina win
17%
Expected goals
Lazio2.20 – 1.06Fiorentina
Most likely scores
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–17%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowLazio win2–1Draw1–1Fiorentina win1–2
Lazio: Champions League
78%82%+4 pts74%−4 pts70%−8 ptsLazio: Title
13%15%+2 pts10%−3 pts8%−5 ptsFiorentina: Relegation
12%14%+2 pts11%−1 pt7%−5 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.