Genoavs
AC Milan
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Serie A · Matchday 11
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Prediction
Genoa win
23%
Draw
24%
Milan win
54%
Expected goals
Genoa1.04 – 1.74Milan
Most likely scores
- 1–111%
- 0–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 1–06%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowGenoa win1–0Draw1–1Milan win0–1
Genoa: Relegation
3%1%−2 pts2%±03%±0Milan: Champions League
37%28%−9 pts33%−4 pts42%+5 ptsMilan: Title
2%1%−1 pt2%±03%+1 pt
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.