Atalantavs
Lazio
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Serie A · Matchday 23
New Balance Arena
Prediction
Atalanta win
26%
Draw
23%
Lazio win
51%
Expected goals
Atalanta1.26 – 1.83Lazio
Most likely scores
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–18%
- 0–28%
- 2–17%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowAtalanta win2–1Draw1–1Lazio win1–2
Atalanta: Relegation
2%1%−1 pt2%±02%±0Lazio: Champions League
78%71%−7 pts75%−3 pts83%+5 ptsLazio: Title
13%9%−4 pts10%−3 pts16%+3 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.