Ceutavs
Burgos
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Segunda División · Matchday 42
Estadio Alfonso Murube
Prediction
Ceuta win
24%
Draw
26%
Burgos win
49%
Expected goals
Ceuta0.96 – 1.49Burgos
Most likely scores
- 0–113%
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowCeuta win1–0Draw1–1Burgos win0–1
Ceuta: Relegation
96%93%−3 pts96%±097%+1 ptBurgos: Promotion
4%3%−1 pt3%−1 pt6%+2 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.