Nacionalvs
Casa Pia
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Primeira Liga · Matchday 31
Estádio da Madeira
Prediction
Nacional win
45%
Draw
27%
Casa Pia win
28%
Expected goals
Nacional1.36 – 1.01Casa Pia
Most likely scores
- 1–113%
- 1–013%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowNacional win1–0Draw1–1Casa Pia win0–1
Nacional: Relegation
19%12%−7 pts20%+1 pt27%+8 ptsCasa Pia: Relegation
50%58%+8 pts50%±037%−13 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.