Benficavs
Braga
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Primeira Liga · Matchday 14
Estádio da Luz
Prediction
Benfica win
57%
Draw
22%
Braga win
21%
Expected goals
Benfica1.90 – 1.05Braga
Most likely scores
- 1–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 3–16%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowBenfica win1–0Draw1–1Braga win0–1
Benfica: Champions League
81%85%+4 pts78%−3 pts75%−6 ptsBenfica: Title
19%22%+3 pts15%−4 pts13%−6 ptsBraga: Average finish
6.56.7+0.26.4−0.15.9−0.6
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.
Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).