Aroucavs
Sporting
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Primeira Liga · Matchday 24
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Prediction
Arouca win
17%
Draw
20%
Sporting win
63%
Expected goals
Arouca1.05 – 2.19Sporting
Most likely scores
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 1–19%
- 0–19%
- 1–37%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowArouca win2–1Draw1–1Sporting win1–2
Arouca: Average finish
6.55.9−0.66.4−0.16.7+0.2Sporting: Champions League
21%14%−7 pts17%−4 pts24%+3 ptsSporting: Title
3%1%−2 pts2%−1 pt3%±0
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.
Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).