Foot Simu
Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool's relegation chances: Premier League 2026/27

Relegation chance
<1%
Position
5th
15 pts · 9 games
Likely finish
3rd–8th

Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League table with 15 points from 9 games.

Liverpool go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 3rd–8th (79% of seasons), averaging 61 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Crystal Palace18th · 7 pts54%
  2. 2Coventry City16th · 9 pts50%
  3. 3Sunderland20th · 5 pts43%
  4. 4Hull City11th · 11 pts39%
  5. 5Ipswich Town14th · 11 pts36%
  6. 6Nottingham Forest19th · 6 pts31%
  7. 7Fulham15th · 9 pts15%
  8. 8Newcastle United13th · 11 pts11%
  9. 9Liverpool5th · 15 pts<1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Liverpool

Frequently asked questions

Will Liverpool be relegated?

Liverpool go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League table with 15 points from 9 games.

Where will Liverpool finish?

Their likely finish is 3rd–8th (79% of seasons), averaging 61 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Premier League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.