Chelsea's relegation chances: Premier League 2026/27
- Relegation chance
- <1%
- Position
- 4th
- 16 pts · 9 games
- Likely finish
- 3rd–8th
Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League table with 16 points from 9 games.
Chelsea go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Their likely finish is 3rd–8th (81% of seasons), averaging 62 points.
Relegation: the likeliest clubs
- 1
Crystal Palace18th · 7 pts54% - 2
Coventry City16th · 9 pts50% - 3
Sunderland20th · 5 pts43% - 4
Hull City11th · 11 pts39% - 5
Ipswich Town14th · 11 pts36% - 6
Nottingham Forest19th · 6 pts31% - 7
Fulham15th · 9 pts15% - 8
Newcastle United13th · 11 pts11% - 9Chelsea4th · 16 pts<1%
The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.
Every club's relegation chancesMore on Chelsea
Frequently asked questions
Will Chelsea be relegated?
Chelsea go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League table with 16 points from 9 games.
Where will Chelsea finish?
Their likely finish is 3rd–8th (81% of seasons), averaging 62 points.
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Premier League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.