Foot Simu
Premier League 2026/27

Aston Villa's relegation chances: Premier League 2026/27

Relegation chance
2%
Position
10th
12 pts · 9 games
Likely finish
5th–12th

Aston Villa are 10th in the Premier League table with 12 points from 9 games.

Aston Villa go down in 2% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 5th–12th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.

Relegation: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Crystal Palace18th · 7 pts54%
  2. 2Coventry City16th · 9 pts50%
  3. 3Sunderland20th · 5 pts43%
  4. 4Hull City11th · 11 pts39%
  5. 5Ipswich Town14th · 11 pts36%
  6. 6Nottingham Forest19th · 6 pts31%
  7. 7Fulham15th · 9 pts15%
  8. 8Newcastle United13th · 11 pts11%
  9. 9Aston Villa10th · 12 pts2%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's relegation chances

More on Aston Villa

Frequently asked questions

Will Aston Villa be relegated?

Aston Villa go down in 2% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Aston Villa are 10th in the Premier League table with 12 points from 9 games.

Where will Aston Villa finish?

Their likely finish is 5th–12th (76% of seasons), averaging 53 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Premier League season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.