Newcastle Unitedvs
Sunderland
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Premier League · Matchday 14
St. James' Park
Prediction
Newcastle win
47%
Draw
28%
Sunderland win
25%
Expected goals
Newcastle1.56 – 1.07Sunderland
Most likely scores
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–09%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowNewcastle win1–0Draw1–1Sunderland win1–2
Newcastle: Relegation
10%6%−4 pts11%+1 pt14%+4 ptsSunderland: Relegation
44%50%+6 pts44%±033%−11 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.