Evertonvs
Newcastle United
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Premier League · Matchday 24
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Prediction
Everton win
45%
Draw
29%
Newcastle win
26%
Expected goals
Everton1.46 – 1.05Newcastle
Most likely scores
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 0–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowEverton win1–0Draw1–1Newcastle win0–1
Everton: Champions League
3%4%+1 pt2%−1 pt2%−1 ptEverton: Relegation
2%1%−1 pt2%±03%+1 ptNewcastle: Relegation
10%12%+2 pts10%±06%−4 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.