Evertonvs
Manchester City
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Premier League · Matchday 18
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Prediction
Everton win
25%
Draw
29%
Man City win
46%
Expected goals
Everton1.01 – 1.46Man City
Most likely scores
- 1–114%
- 0–111%
- 0–010%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowEverton win1–0Draw1–1Man City win0–1
Everton: Champions League
3%5%+2 pts3%±02%−1 ptEverton: Relegation
2%1%−1 pt2%±02%±0Man City: Title
19%14%−5 pts17%−2 pts23%+4 ptsMan City: Champions League
96%94%−2 pts95%−1 pt97%+1 pt
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.