Evertonvs
Arsenal
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Premier League · Matchday 37
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Prediction
Everton win
19%
Draw
32%
Arsenal win
48%
Expected goals
Everton0.73 – 1.29Arsenal
Most likely scores
- 0–116%
- 0–015%
- 1–114%
- 0–211%
- 1–08%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowEverton win1–0Draw0–0Arsenal win0–1
Everton: Champions League
3%5%+2 pts3%±02%−1 ptEverton: Relegation
2%1%−1 pt2%±02%±0Arsenal: Title
64%56%−8 pts61%−3 pts70%+6 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.