Lillevs
Marseille
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Ligue 1 · Matchday 23
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Prediction
Lille win
46%
Draw
25%
Marseille win
29%
Expected goals
Lille1.58 – 1.19Marseille
Most likely scores
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowLille win1–0Draw1–1Marseille win0–1
Lille: Champions League
58%66%+8 pts54%−4 pts47%−11 ptsLille: Title
4%6%+2 pts3%−1 pt2%−2 ptsMarseille: Champions League
45%38%−7 pts45%±056%+11 ptsMarseille: Title
2%1%−1 pt2%±04%+2 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.