Lillevs
Auxerre
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Ligue 1 · Matchday 13
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Prediction
Lille win
65%
Draw
21%
Auxerre win
14%
Expected goals
Lille1.93 – 0.77Auxerre
Most likely scores
- 1–013%
- 2–012%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowLille win1–0Draw1–1Auxerre win0–1
Lille: Champions League
58%62%+4 pts52%−6 pts46%−12 ptsLille: Title
4%5%+1 pt3%−1 pt2%−2 ptsAuxerre: Relegation
14%15%+1 pt12%−2 pts7%−7 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.