Ligue 1 2026/27 relegation odds
Le Havre go down in 55% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Troyes (48%) and Le Mans (43%).
Every club's relegation chances
- 1
Le Havre18th · 2 pts55% - 2
Troyes16th · 8 pts48% - 3
Le Mans17th · 7 pts43% - 4
Angers15th · 8 pts33% - 5
Auxerre14th · 10 pts15% - 6
Lorient11th · 12 pts2% - 7
Nice8th · 14 pts2% - 8
Toulouse12th · 10 pts2% - 9
Brest10th · 12 pts1% - 10
Strasbourg13th · 10 pts<1% - 11
Rennes5th · 16 pts<1% - 12
Monaco7th · 15 pts<1% - 13
Lyon3rd · 17 pts<1% - 14
Paris FC4th · 17 pts<1% - 15
Marseille6th · 15 pts<1%
3 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Ligue 1 chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be relegated from the Ligue 1 2026/27?
Le Havre go down in 55% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Troyes (48%) and Le Mans (43%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Ligue 1 season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it goes down.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.