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Liga MX Apertura 2026

QuerétarovsNecaxa

Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Liga MX · Matchday 17

Estadio Corregidora

Prediction

Expected goals

Queretaro1.54 – 1.13Necaxa

Most likely scores

  1. 1–113%
  2. 1–010%
  3. 2–19%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 0–07%

Roll a likely score

–

One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.

From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.

What this result means

NowQueretaro win1–0Draw1–1Necaxa win0–1
  • Queretaro: Play-offs

    43%65%+22 pts27%−16 pts18%−25 pts
  • Necaxa: Average finish

    17.117.3+0.217.1±016.8−0.3

Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.

Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).

Form and table

Position
11th
Liga MX
Points
20
Played
14
6-2-6
Form
WinLossLossLossLoss
Queretaro: season chances
Position
17th
Liga MX
Points
10
Played
15
2-4-9
Form
DrawLossLossDrawLoss
Necaxa: season chances
Simulate the rest of the Liga MX season