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La Liga 2026/27

ElchevsRayo Vallecano

Prediction, odds and simulated scores · La Liga · Matchday 21

Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche
vs
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction

Expected goals

Elche1.58 – 1.21Rayo

Most likely scores

  1. 1–112%
  2. 2–19%
  3. 1–09%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 1–27%

Roll a likely score

–

One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.

From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.

What this result means

NowElche win2–1Draw1–1Rayo win1–2

  • Elche: Relegation

    7%4%−3 pts8%+1 pt10%+3 pts

  • Rayo: Relegation

    4%5%+1 pt4%±02%−2 pts

  • Rayo: Champions League

    1%1%±01%±02%+1 pt

Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.

Form and table

Elche

Position
17th
La Liga
Points
10
Played
11
2-4-5
Form
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
Elche: season chances

Rayo Vallecano

Position
10th
La Liga
Points
12
Played
10
3-3-4
Form
WinDrawDrawLossWin
Rayo: season chances
Simulate the rest of the La Liga season