De Graafschapvs
Heracles Almelo
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Eerste Divisie · Matchday 20
De Vijverberg
Prediction
De Graafschap win
24%
Draw
20%
Heracles win
55%
Expected goals
De Graafschap1.39 – 2.18Heracles
Most likely scores
- 1–29%
- 1–19%
- 1–37%
- 0–27%
- 2–26%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowDe Graafschap win2–1Draw1–1Heracles win1–2
De Graafschap: Average finish
11.911.0−0.911.9±012.3+0.4Heracles: Title
86%81%−5 pts84%−2 pts90%+4 ptsHeracles: Promotion
96%94%−2 pts96%±098%+2 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.
Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).