Eerste Divisie 2026/27 promotion odds
Heracles win promotion in 94% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Almere City (35%) and VVV Venlo (29%).
Every club's promotion chances
- 1
Heracles Almelo1st · 32 pts94% - 2
Almere City3rd · 25 pts35% - 3
VVV-Venlo2nd · 28 pts29% - 4
NAC Breda6th · 24 pts20% - 5
FC Volendam7th · 19 pts9% - 6
Roda JC Kerkrade4th · 25 pts7% - 7
FC Emmen5th · 25 pts3% - 8
RKC Waalwijk12th · 16 pts1% - 9
Vitesse9th · 18 pts1% - 10
FC Den Bosch8th · 18 pts<1% - 11
Jong AZ10th · 17 pts<1% - 12
Jong PSV13th · 16 pts<1% - 13
De Graafschap14th · 15 pts<1% - 14
TOP Oss15th · 13 pts<1%
6 other clubs: 0% (not once in 10,000 simulated seasons).
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
More Eerste Divisie chances
Frequently asked questions
Who will be promoted from the Eerste Divisie 2026/27?
Heracles win promotion in 94% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Next: Almere City (35%) and VVV Venlo (29%).
How are these chances worked out?
Foot Simu plays out the rest of the Eerste Divisie season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it is promoted.
How often are they updated?
Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.
Are these bookmakers' odds?
No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.