LigaPro title odds after Matchday 33
After the games up to 1 November 2026Latest
Ind. del Valle lead the title race at 100%. U. Católica 1–2 Aucas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
–
Down
–
No club's chances moved by a point or more. Ind. del Valle lead the title race at 100%.
Libertadores
Down
U. Católica62%45%−17 pts
Barcelona8%6%−2 pts
Aucas won 2–1 at U. Católica, and their Libertadores chances rose from 5% to 22%. U. Católica lost 2–1 to Aucas at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 62% to 45%.
Relegation
Up
Orense4%11%+7 pts
Mushuc Runa1%4%+3 pts
Manta F.C.99%>99%+1 pt
Down
Tecnico U.52%46%−6 pts
Delfín44%39%−5 pts
Orense didn't play, and their relegation chances rose from 4% to 11%. Tecnico U. beat Mushuc Runa 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 52% to 46%.
Changes since Matchday 32, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
U. Católica 1–2 Aucas moved the odds the most. U. Católica lost 2–1 to Aucas at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 62% to 45%. Aucas won 2–1 at U. Católica, and their Libertadores chances rose from 5% to 22%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Ind. del Valle
- Macará
- Aucas
- LDU
- U. Católica
Show as a table
| Round | Ind. del Valle | Macará | Aucas | LDU | U. Católica |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 31 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 32 | 100% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 33 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ind. del ValleIndependiente del Valle | 81 | 100%±0 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  MacaráMacará | 66 | 0%±0 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  AucasAucas | 54 | 0%±0 | 22%+17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  LDULiga de Quito | 53 | 0%±0 | 26%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 5 | U. CatólicaUniversidad Católica (Quito) | 53 | 0%±0 | 45%−17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | BarcelonaBarcelona SC | 48 | 0%±0 | 6%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  LibertadLibertad (Ecuador) | 51 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  GuayaquilGuayaquil City FC | 47 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  LeonesLeones | 46 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  EmelecEmelec | 42 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  CuencaDeportivo Cuenca | 44 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 | Mushuc RunaMushuc Runa | 40 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 4%+3 pts |
| 13 | OrenseOrense | 38 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%+7 pts |
| 14 | DelfínDelfín | 38 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 39%−5 pts |
| 15 | Tecnico U.Técnico Universitario | 36 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%−6 pts |
| 16 | Manta F.C.Manta F.C. | 27 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | >99%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 33, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 32 below each.