Southamptonvs
Wrexham
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 33
St. Mary's Stadium
Prediction
Southampton win
61%
Draw
21%
Wrexham win
17%
Expected goals
Southampton2.15 – 1.06Wrexham
Most likely scores
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 2–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–17%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowSouthampton win2–1Draw1–1Wrexham win1–2
Southampton: Title
44%48%+4 pts39%−5 pts35%−9 ptsSouthampton: Promotion
66%70%+4 pts62%−4 pts57%−9 ptsWrexham: Average finish
13.013.3+0.312.8−0.211.9−1.1
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.
Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).