Middlesbroughvs
Southampton
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 37
Riverside Stadium
Prediction
Middlesbrough win
41%
Draw
25%
Southampton win
34%
Expected goals
Middlesbrough1.70 – 1.52Southampton
Most likely scores
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 1–28%
- 2–27%
- 1–06%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowMiddlesbrough win2–1Draw1–1Southampton win1–2
Middlesbrough: Promotion
39%47%+8 pts36%−3 pts31%−8 ptsMiddlesbrough: Title
19%25%+6 pts17%−2 pts12%−7 ptsSouthampton: Title
44%37%−7 pts44%±054%+10 ptsSouthampton: Promotion
66%60%−6 pts66%±075%+9 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.