Mainz 05vs
Bayern Munich
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Bundesliga · Matchday 9
MEWA ARENA
Prediction
Mainz win
16%
Draw
17%
Bayern win
67%
Expected goals
Mainz1.32 – 2.74Bayern
Most likely scores
- 1–29%
- 1–38%
- 0–26%
- 1–16%
- 0–36%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowMainz win2–1Draw1–1Bayern win1–2
Mainz: Relegation
5%2%−3 pts4%−1 pt6%+1 ptBayern: Title
91%86%−5 pts88%−3 pts93%+2 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.