Foot Simu
2. Bundesliga 2026/27

St. Pauli's promotion chances: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27

Promotion chance
2%
Position
8th
12 pts · 10 games
Likely finish
4th–11th

St. Pauli are 8th in the 2. Bundesliga table with 12 points from 10 games.

St. Pauli win promotion in 2% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Their likely finish is 4th–11th (80% of seasons), averaging 49 points.

Promotion: the likeliest clubs

  1. 1Hertha BSC1st · 28 pts86%
  2. 2VfL Wolfsburg3rd · 19 pts57%
  3. 31. FC Nürnberg2nd · 21 pts32%
  4. 4Kaiserslautern4th · 18 pts8%
  5. 51. FC Heidenheim6th · 15 pts6%
  6. 61. FC Magdeburg5th · 17 pts6%
  7. 7St. Pauli8th · 12 pts2%
  8. 8Arminia Bielefeld7th · 14 pts1%

The 8 likeliest clubs, from the same simulated seasons.

Every club's promotion chances

More on St. Pauli

Frequently asked questions

What are St. Pauli's chances of promotion?

St. Pauli win promotion in 2% of 10,000 simulated seasons. St. Pauli are 8th in the 2. Bundesliga table with 12 points from 10 games.

Where will St. Pauli finish?

Their likely finish is 4th–11th (80% of seasons), averaging 49 points.

How are these chances worked out?

Foot Simu plays out the rest of the 2. Bundesliga season 10,000 times, starting from the real results so far. Each game's score is drawn from both clubs' attack and defence this season, with home advantage. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it is promoted.

How often are they updated?

Every few hours, from the latest results: each result changes the chances of every club in the race.

Are these bookmakers' odds?

No. They are the chances from Foot Simu's own simulated seasons, not betting odds.