Mainz 05vs
Freiburg
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Bundesliga · Matchday 13
MEWA ARENA
Prediction
Mainz win
41%
Draw
24%
Freiburg win
36%
Expected goals
Mainz1.69 – 1.57Freiburg
Most likely scores
- 1–110%
- 2–19%
- 1–28%
- 2–27%
- 1–06%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowMainz win2–1Draw1–1Freiburg win1–2
Mainz: Relegation
5%3%−2 pts5%±07%+2 ptsFreiburg: Champions League
44%37%−7 pts43%−1 pt53%+9 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.